Haywire

@semil's blog, building a technology community

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The Word “Strategy” In And Around Startups

A few days ago, Fred Wilson wrote about strategy and specifically in startups. I was glad to see it, but my immediate reaction is that, at least in my experience, “strategy” is not a welcomed term or role in Valley startups. Sure, leaders are strategic about the choices they make before execution and tactics, but there are no titles like “Chief Strategy Officer” and generally strategy is associated (negatively) with those carrying MBAs (many of whom are VCs) and who draw up matrices on whiteboards.

I wrote a brief comment in this spirit, and both Fred and FAKE GRIMLOCK (still don’t understand what this is!!) replied. You can read the comment here: http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2013/06/what-is-strategy.html#comment-933564113

I have written before on this on Quora. I dug up and modified my answer, but here goes: I believe there is a micro (Silicon Valley and/or startup) connotation for the word “strategy”, and also a denotation that applies generally. I know this first-hand because the term most people label me with is “strategic” and automatically assume that, because of this label, that I cannot execute or operate.

My sense is that this negative in the startup world for good reason, though there are exceptions, of course.

Part of it is driven by the fact that it’s largely used by non-technical people who oftentimes knock on the door with an MBA or equivalent-type degree. In those educational settings, instruction is largely driven by a blend of the socratic method and/or the use of case studies that reinforce learning by reading and/or listening to stories and deducing lessons from them, mainly about how the protagonist in a situation would make a decision.

Those decisions are largely arrived at by going through the strategic process:

  1. Taking the time to understand the challenge or opportunity;
  2. Using domain knowledge to lay out a set of “completely exhaustive yet mutually exclusive” (CEME) options;
  3. Weighting them accordingly based on the cost vs. benefit, the risk vs. reward, and so forth, to steer something to its optimal destination; and
  4. Creating a full-proof plan that you and/or others will execute tactically to realize the strategy.

Part of this may also be driven by the fact that for a long time, most of Sand Hill held blue chip MBAs and were seen to have a lock on offering strategic advice without having operational “dirty-hands” experience. So in startups, when people use this word coming from a non-technical background, the assumption — which is oftentimes correct — is that the value-add of someone with this skill will largely be worthwhile only after the product or service has reached a certain point of stability.

In other work situations, outside the startup ecosystem, “strategic types” often congregate (I’m generalizing) at places like big box consultancies, management consultancies, investment banks, corporate strategy departments, and the like. Here the word has less of a negative connotation, though I have a friend who worked in the corporate strategy arm of Lehman Brothers who said that everyone else at the bank hated the department because they assumed his group were the ones that would tell the brass what they needed to know about the company, the good and the bad. They were seen as an elite asset by the management, but as snitches by the rank and file.

Overall, I do think it’s a tricky word in and around startups, and I’m not sure there’s much to do to change that.

[So, what makes someone actually good at strategy? I would say what separates people who claim they are "strategic" versus ones that actually, demonstrably, are, would be those that complete #1-3 and those that also make sure there are controls set in to ensure #4 is done, too.]

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A Personal Story Of Working At Swell

I have been focusing my operational work over the last year in mobile. A big part of the reason is working with the Swell team and specifically Ram, one of the co-founders. There are short-term opportunities and long-term opportunities. Somewhere in between, technologists start building the future we will likely experience. In the world of venture-funded startups, folks are looking for technologies, products, and teams who could mature in a few years. This is something I’ve learned by getting to watch a serial technology entrepreneur like Ram operate. We were introduced while he was wrapping up his EIR gig @ CRV and I remember him asking to meet me. I also got to meet his co-founders Keshav Menon and Dominic Hughes. I wondered, why would this guy want to meet me? He was talking about mobile, his previous projects (including SnapTell, which was acquired by Amazon and integrated as “Flow”), and about his idea to use gestures as motion waves to control the phone while in the car. In the fall of 2011, this sounded like the future to me!

Ram and I would meet every few weeks and with each meeting, the ideas seem to slowly narrow. First, he was interested in mobile. Everyone is, right? And, rightfully so. He had deep mobile experience already having build SnapTell. So, he started diving into “what” specifically in mobile — thinking about the sensors, being an active or passive app, and so forth — Ram wrote a great TechCrunch piece on this, here.  Then, he was thinking about the consumer, their time. When could consumers use something, given all the apps available. He started to think about the time when people are bored, what he called “dead time,” the bits of the day when you’re maybe in line and look at Twitter or Facebook on your phone or play a game — for him, that became the car or train during a commute, when people are getting to work, running errands, or going away for business or a long weekend. How could a mobile app be useful, especially in the car. And, Ram keeps going…inspired by Pandora, Prismatic, and Quora, we started to have conversations around audio — people were working on text, and it’s a very competitive space, and with video, a large company based in Mountain View has a little bit of a head start :-)

Thus, Swell’s first product was born. I didn’t hear from Ram for a few weeks after that. He organized players from his SnapTell team back together, and this is the kind of team that could pick up new platforms and languages because they’re all polymaths. The real technology here — the value — is in classifying and cataloging audio information and matching that content to people, similar to how Pandora, Quora, and Prismatic match content with end consumers.

Seeing Ram and his team narrow down their ideas to what Swell is today is probably one of the greatest startup formation learning experiences I’ve had the pleasure to be involved with. As the Swell product entered Alpha, I grew more involved with the team, thanks to Ram’s invitation, and as we fanned out to a larger, extended Beta period, I became even more involved, going through product reviews with Ram, talking about the market, the position, and how to eventually get this into the hands of the right people.

While iOS distribution is critically important for any app, what I’ve learned most through this experience is how a product drives a company. People may say “it’s all about product” without really thinking about why that is the case. The product is really all that matters, and the work it takes to arrive at a public v1 is excruciating. In fact, USV’s Albert Wenger wrote an entire post about just how important product is vs anything else. The team is balancing every idea, differentiating from the competition, but also trying to build something new. And, for the end consumer, you have to provide value, even if marginal value. You want the consumer to say, “I like to use X when Y…..” And, after using the app for months, both in the car, at home, when I’m walking around, and so on, I am confident this team has delivered product value. As we look to next week, releasing on June 27, I’m really grateful to have been a small part of this product and journey. I use the app every day. It is a new product and now a part of my life.

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The Swell Product Inspiration

Lately in consumer tech, we kind of take for granted how personalized things have become. Go to any artisanal coffee shop, and even your drip coffee is individually made for you. This is the analog example. When it comes to digital, it’s companies like Amazon and Pandora that have paved the way. I still remember almost a decade ago, living near Dolores Park, I wrote for a music magazine (for fun) for years and used it as a ticket to attend hundreds of concerts over the years. Someone told me about Pandora’s music genome back then, but it didn’t really register then. Now, it seems like I use Pandora every day, and even though I use a suite of other music apps and services, it’s been Pandora that consistently provides the strongest signal for me to discover new artists that I like. No other service compares, not even the recommendations of my friends.

Back in 2010, when I joined Quora’s beta (along with everyone else), that was another experience in personalized information. At the time, I had just moved here and was trying to learn about a system and culture I didn’t fully understand. Quora provided information that was personalized to my interests and, at that moment, captured my attention. There’s a curiosity that draws me to a place like Quora, and even though some may remark today that the site has lost its initial ethos and edge (and to some degree, it has), I still go back, looking for information, for knowledge. Aside from Quora, I’m always looking for platforms or products that help me learn through interactions. Twitter is like this for me, for instance.

More recently in 2012, I had the opportunity to work closely with the folks at Prismatic through my time in venture with Javelin Venture Partners. Prismatic is trying to create a more personalized news experience for readers, matching our social graphs and our interests to relevant content by crawling the web and continuously analyzing language to provide better matches. Prismatic also learns more and more about what the reader is interested in based on explicit and implicit actions. My feed on Prismatic feels like what the #Discover tab on Twitter should be for me, it’s that good.

At Swellwe all use these products and are inspired by them — Pandora, Quora, Prismatic. These products have helped pave the way for us to do what we do. The aim of Swell is to deliver personalized audio content to you based on your interests, and to learn more and more about you as you use the service — this is done through a mix of human curation, algorithmic learning, and collaborative filtering. The “Swell for iPhone” product is built with this audience in mind, an audience who constantly in search of good information and improving their base of knowledge on topics that matter to them.

This may be, in fact, how Ram and I initially met up. I know he used these products, too — and he, too, is inspired by them. I checked back in my email to see when we were introduced — back around Thanksgiving of 2011. Teaming up with Ram has proven to be one of the best decisions I’ve made in the Valley. More on this in the final post, next Tuesday June 18th. Until then, here’s a video we produced to explain one way to use Swell:

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Structural Or Cyclical?

When I was a kid, tagging along with my parents to the social events they went to, I remember that all the dads used to sit around and eventually talk about the economy. This was before the Clinton campaign in 1992, when “It’s the economy, stupid!” became a national catchphrase. My dad and these guys would do this every single time. It was maddening. Occasionally someone would mention sports, but that’s it — it’s all economics. Now, funny enough, decades later, here I sit as a new dad, and after going to graduate school for economics, and now working both for startups and venture capital, boy — there is a lot of talk of economics related to startups and the Valley.

However, it finally occurred to me why there’s so much discussion about economics around here today — fundamentally, it’s driven by a philosophical divide between two groups: Those that believe the current state of consumer and enterprise technologies is structural (a “new normal”) change and here to say, versus those that believe we are in a cycle, that this is a long high tide of the market and things will whip back to normal, eventually. Of course, no one knows what the future will bring, which is why people make their bets, or try to analyze trends, or start hedge funds.

This is important for founders to understand when talking to external partners and existing and potential investors. One’s view of the economy can impact a perceived valuation. The cost of starting up has fallen, there is talent moving into the industry, and many of the jobs the country has lost won’t come back. If just one party who believes we are in a structural change begins to draw interest into your company, he/she may be willing to pay a higher price and offer you less dilution or more capital. That can be a great thing, or it can be too indigestible. Ultimately, structuralists believe the recovery is self-sustaining and lays the foundation for a new economy.

On the other hand, for parties who believe this is cyclical, they may view an investment opportunity with more suspicion or caution. There were many smart investors out there in 2012 who could sling checks but didn’t — now they have again. These people remember the bubble of 2000 and believe the economy is being artificially propped up right now because of the Fed’s quantitative easing. They also believe the banks again have too much market power after being bailed out and recapitalized (with our tax money) by the government for being “too big to fail.” They believe there are no growth areas outside of assets — which is driving money back into the technology sector (or why you see people leaving Goldman Sachs to start small micro VC funds) and bringing back turnover in the housing market. Despite the stock market, there’s high unemployment, interest rates can’t go lower (artificially boosting confidence), median income is down (most of whom are underwater), and combined with an increase in asset prices, many economists would call this pre-bubble conditions.

I don’t mean to write this to be sabre-rattling (I’m more a structuralist here), but I certainly understand the underlying economic arguments given by the cyclicals. Many people are making big bets (or abstaining) based on their view of this, and it will be fascinating to see what shakes out over the next 3-5 years.

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Iterations: Getting To Series A Is Not Sexy, It’s Really Hard Work

My column yesterday on TechCrunch featured an interesting story about a company I’ve been involved with for a long time, a company that took five (5) years from birth date to Series A — lots of lessons here for venture-backed founders.

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Editor’s Note: Semil Shah is a contributor toTechCrunch. As a disclosure, please note he has been friends with the founders Scripted (see below) for over five years and is an official advisor to the company: You can follow him on Twitter at @semil.

If you keep up with all the tech startup news, it’s easy to develop the impression that money is just sloshing around the Valley and even the worst products and ideas curry investors’ interests. Thankfully, this is far from the truth. As many of you know, raising institutional funding is quite hard and the process takes a long time, sometimes years. Years ago, Pandora suffered through brutal fundraising meetings before eventually securing venture capital — the rest is now history. And, just a few years ago, it was Pinterest who had to slog through many financing rejections before turning the tables on everyone. To that end, I wanted to highlight a company that I’ve been personally involved with as an advisor, where I’ve known one co-founder (Ryan Buckley) for seven years through graduate school and have come to know his CEO (Sunil Rajaraman) over the last five years. In fact, I remember Ryan telling me about his company while we were in graduate school (around 2008), and now, five years after starting their company — Scripted — the team finally reached, secured, and closed their Series A. Below is a brief Q&A with Sunil about their journey to date, which goes into candid detail about fundraising, marketplace businesses, and the emotional ups and downs of the process:

You recently raised and closed a Series A financing for your company. When was the company founded, and when did you first start going out into the market for your first institutional round?

Rajaraman: We have a long and complicated history. We launched under a different company name in January 2008 as a screenwriting software platform – our first idea was to give away “Google Docs” for screenwriters to amateur screenwriters. We planned on convincing producers they should crowdsource screenplays from us instead of sourcing screenplays from traditional routes (not too dissimilar from Amazon Studios). Our screenwriting software program became popular, but (surprise, surprise) producers did not want to buy screenplays from us. My co-founder and I were working at separate full-time jobs as we tried to keep the company alive through 2009-2010. We managed to keep the ship afloat long enough to realize our real customers were businesses. Companies started reaching out to us at the start of 2011 effectively saying: “Hey, we don’t have the time or the resources to, hire, vet, and ramp up a freelance writer workforce…you’re that company with a lot of writers – do you think you can help?” Scripted officially launched during the summer of 2011 and we raised our first round in November 2011 (took about 6 months in all).

You drew some initial interest for your Series A in the Fall of 2012. Describe what happened? Now in the Spring of 2013, it sounds like you were oversubscribed? What changed?

Rajaraman: Without disclosing actual numbers, I’ll say that for a seed company we were generating Series A-like revenue by Q3 of 2012. As a result, we drew initial interest and figured it would be relatively easy to get a round done. The main reason we didn’t get over the finish line is that we are smack dab in the middle of two types of businesses: recurring vs. transactional. VCs weren’t sure how to evaluate us because we had some transactional business, and some recurring business. All that really changed between the Fall ‘12 and Spring ‘13 was we shifted focus to more recurring business. We also got James Currier and Stan Chudnovsky of Ooga Labs involved as advisors and investors – those guys have a TON of experience growing marketplace-like businesses. As soon as we got them involved, a lot of VCs got very interested very quickly. Rick Marini, Michael Birch, Chris Michel and Paige Craig joined our investment contingent as well, and were helpful as we evaluated prospective investors, and decided on the best option for the company. We went out to a few investors we really thought made sense for Scripted, and the story was a lot easier to share with a full year of data. Numbers don’t lie, people do.

How did you regroup, both as a person and as a company, between the disappointment of last fall to the success of this spring? Any tactics?

Rajaraman: It sucks to try for an A and not get over the finish line. I’m not going to lie, I really suffered last fall and had to get myself back together. A few things really helped: One, we have a great team. Our team stayed positive because they knew what was going on at every moment. We have a transparent culture and this is where it helps. Everyone continued to work hard, and no one gave a second thought to what happened in the Fall. Two, Belgian beer helps. A lot. Three, at the end of the day you have to find what motivates you – for me that’s obviously) my fundamental belief that Scripted is going to be a massive business.

How did you keep the company afloat?

Rajaraman: Through a combination of two things: growing revenue (nothing beats growing a business the old-fashioned way), and a venture debt round we put together with WTI. Venture debt is a great tool for entrepreneurs to have in their back pockets, and very few folks actually take advantage of it. The cost of debt capital is far cheaper than equity capital (which is why we raised debt rather than an insider round) with one major caveat: you have to be able to make the interest payments. Venture debt firms recognize this, and only make investments in companies that look like they are fundable (eventually), and won’t default on the debt. Entrepreneurs benefit by not taking unnecessary dilution if all they need is a few extra months of cash to hit their funding (or revenue) milestones.

How did you know you could re-enter the funding market for your Series A? What was different this time?

Rajaraman: My confidence-level was much higher this time. I’d reiterate nothing beats revenue and growth – if you have both, raising money becomes much easier. We ultimately ended up with many options, and had the good fortune (for the first time in the company’s history) of picking between investors.

Which investors did you decide to go with?

Rajaraman: Eric Chin from Crosslink Capital and Chris Moore from Redpoint ventures. Note that I list the partner first, and the firm second – when you receive investment from a VC firm, you’re really working with the partner that invests in you, but it’s easy to caught up in the brand names of firms.

The process of picking the right investors is not all that straightforward, and my biggest advice here is to do your homework. We had a working relationship with Eric and Omar from Crosslink for a year and change, so we knew what it would be like to work with them, and vice versa. When the time came for us to raise our A, both sides already had a bunch of data, and we knew we wanted to work together. We still went through a traditional, thorough diligence process but all of the questions about whether Eric could be a great board member were already answered.

Chris also conducted a thorough diligence process on Scripted, but we did not have the luxury of knowing him for 16 months like we did with Crosslink (and vice versa). Over the period of a few weeks, we spent a lot of time together (including a long Easter Sunday meeting) to understand how we both work. What it ultimately came down to was the references – we asked for numerous references from Chris, and conducted several of our own (outside of his list). The feedback was consistent and positive.

Now, having closed the A round, what three pieces of advice would you give a seed-stage company that is just on the edge of raising Series A or closing shop?

  • Don’t give up. I can’t believe how many entrepreneurs who I personally know, or who are friends of friends who just give up. It’s saddening, but it’s typically the best filter to figure out who is cut out for this stuff. You’re going to suffer and you’re going to look at the bank account and figure out you only have a week or two of payroll left – that’s when you really figure out what you’re made of. Read this if you need inspiration.

  • Stay healthy. I wish I’d done a better job of this – I ate like crap, stopped working out and wish I’d taken better care of my health in general. Don’t make that mistake – this process is stressful and you’ll be better off for it if you manage your own health first.

  • It’s all about the story- When a VC bets on you, they aren’t just betting on you as a person, but what you’ve been through. Don’t be afraid to share your story – you don’t need to get too personal or anything, but show that you actually have a human side. It’s the little things that you don’t think matter that can sometimes make the difference.

Any other tidbits you can share about VCs in general?

Rajaraman: Lots, but here is an abbreviated list:

  • Don’t waste time with funds that aren’t actively investing. Danielle Morrill blogs about this a bit (her list is not entirely accurate), but you should know that firms you meet with are actually making investments.

  • You have to get to the heart of the reason why VCs passed on you. Often times it’s not the stated reason, but a combination of things. You should reach out through advisors and other investors to find out the real scoop as to why folks pass on you so you can adjust accordingly. I’m not suggesting you make adjustments to your business strategy based on VC feedback, but if you want to raise outside capital you really need to understand why VCs decided to pass on you.

  • The reality is that some VCs won’t get back to you. That’s ok – VCs are super busy and get a ton of inbound interest. Most of the time, it means they’re not interested, though sometimes they just get sidetracked. Focus on the guys that are most responsive – they’re telling you they’re interested. For the less responsive guys, send an email with positive company news/update to tease out whether it’s lack of interest, or they just got sidetracked.

  • That being said, there are a ton of VCs out there who will commit partner time, allude that they are interested, and not get back to you at all after like they are. These are folks you ultimately wouldn’t want to work with anyway.

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From Radio Nostalgia To Mobile Radio

As some of you know, I’ve been working with a small startup, Swell, based in Palo Alto, since I met a founder, GD Ramkumar, or “Ram,” through mutual friends. The company is called “Swell,” and June 2013 is a big month for us. Swell is a soon-to-be-released (!!!) radio and podcast app for mobile. We started with iOS, for now. On many levels, it has been a pure joy to work with Ram and his team, on this product specifically, and to be involved in a type of content delivery and medium –that is, radio — which fits naturally into my daily life.

Though I grew up in an age of Cable TV and saw the transition from Beta to VHS to DVD to Digital to Streaming, radio has been the medium that’s been most consistent throughout my life. I remember my father kept an old radio in the bathroom while he got ready for work, the same radio which informed him and my mom about when Indira Gandhi was assassinated in 1984. I remember my mom crying a lot when this happened. I think we still have that radio, with its brown box frame and big silver knobs and dials.

For me, radio has always been in the background, but always on, too. Countless summer evenings listening to my favorite baseball team play after coming from baseball practice. In college, I studied a lot of music, and was introduced to Alan Lomax, the world’s greatest music ethnographer. He was commissioned by the Library of Congress go around the old south and personally record the audio of old slave music passed down through oral histories. His collection still sits on my bookshelf, one of the most masterful works of art in music I’ve ever discovered. After college, a friend introduced me to a band called Uncle Tupelo, which essentially gave birth to the “alt country” movement and whose members split off to form Wilco. Most of you know will know Wilco. The band is obsessed with the nostalgia of radio, using radio code like “Will Comply” to form Wilco, and some of their earliest album covers depict old transistor radios. More recently, while watching “Mad Men,” there was a scene when some diner workers learned about MLK’s assassination as the radio was playing in the kitchen. As it does then, and does now, radio connects us both the past and present with great power.

What, then, does radio look like in the future?

A decade ago, Howard Stern was certain it was about satellite radio. The market agreed, for a while. But now, we all have computers in our pockets, bandwidth is cheap, and streaming rates are very low. Satellite radio was integrated into many vehicles, but the longer play is that we’ll just connect our phones to our cars to carry on myriad functions, everything from entertainment (music, talk radio, entertainment for passengers) as well as recording analytics from our driving patterns.

For me, personally, the future has even more radio in it. I’ve junked my Cable TV in favor of Apple TV. I listen to much more Pandora and Spotify at home. No television, except for Netflix or buying movies or playing through YouTube. And, while I used to play NPR around the house at times in the background, nowadays I just put Swell onto AirPlay and mill around. When I’m in the car, Swell replaced my car radio entirely. Swell is a better platform for me to learn from, as I learn in a conversational, auditory manner. For me, it’s more efficient to keep up to date with the world via Swell versus reading about the news – I prefer to hear it. Radio fills the dead time in my life, when I am free to be more at ease, more relaxed, and as a result, my brain seems to expand a bit more to let in more information. Yes, we are visual and textual creatures, and images are central to how we process information, but audio is equally important for me, and when it comes to knowledge, the ambient awareness provided by radio is perhaps the most powerful.

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Ideological vs. Situational Cynics

Cynicism in startup land has many catch-phrases, such as:

  • “Where’s their business model?”
  • “Big minds chasing small ideas.”
  • “That will never scale.”
  • “Normal consumers will not want that solution.”

You know, what, though? The future is unwritten, and while specific critiques or opinions delivered with humility and credible context help everyone learn and get better, most cynical analyses of startups — even though tech entrepreneurship is mainstream — are usually leveled by a motivation to feed an audience rather than to find the truth.

Startups are not a good business. It is not rational to start something new. Statistically, it doesn’t make sense. That’s why solutions which cut through, survive, and ultimately succeed are usually driven by something other-worldly, something like fundamental technology which can’t be replicated, or something like design which creates a emotion bond between customer and product, or things like passion, relentlessness, strategy, and vision. And, optimism.

In the news and media business, it’s important to realize content is created not to further journalism or seek out the truth — those may be byproducts, yes — but the real reason it exists is because there is actually a natural market for news and information and opinion. That’s why NBC helped created MSNBC and why FOX has FOX News. But, don’t take it from me — see this seminal paper by two rising-star Harvard economists who penned “The Market For News” [pdf] and you’ll see what I mean. News and opinion isn’t meant to inform, but rather is a product meant to hit the senses of an audience, often to confirm the existing biases that audience holds.

I think a lot about optimism vs cynicism because, in a previous life, I worked in an industry that worked closely with private, closely-held companies and encouraged ownership to share more and more equity with their employees. One of my colleagues at the time is considered an expert on “employee ownership culture” and his favorite talk to give was about, upon installing these new equity plans, how to deal with cynics within the company. Here are my favorite quotes from his report — read them and try to apply to the startup ecosystem and see what you think:

To focus the discussion, this report covers two basic types of cynics: (1) Ideological Cynics reject the idea of employee ownership. At a conceptual level, they believe that employees cannot or should not be real owners. One respondent, exemplifying this perspective, described employee ownership as “a fairy tale.” Ideological cynics disagree with the “ideology” of shared ownership; and (2) Situational Cynics may believe that ownership has potential benefits in the abstract, but they feel that their own company has not done a good job of realizing that potential. They support the idea of ownership, but not the way in which their company implements it. A situational cynic might say “ownership is a nice idea, but it hasn’t changed our situation much,” or, in the words of one actual respondent, ownership at her company is a “strong concept [with] weak execution.” These people find that their actual work situation does not match their concept of ownership.

In startup parlance, readers of this blog probably don’t encounter many ideological cynics — they are too different than you and me. But, there are many situational cynics out there subtly going about their business, and more often than not, with a few exceptions, these types of cynics are driven by pageviews and feeding their audiences, while the believers understand that, ultimately, everything we all do, every new company, every investment check, and most company stock options are destined to end up as bad decisions. But, people do them anyway, because it’s easy to be cynical about things that are statistically difficult, just as it’s easy for the rooster to take credit for the dawn.

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Iterations: Recruiting The New Labor Force

I wrote this piece in September 2012 on TC, looking at how structural — not cyclical — changes in our economy have helped startups create new jobs for the unemployed and laid off.

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Most Apple fans become slightly uncomfortable at the sight of Apple’s latest television commercials featuring celebrities talking aimlessly to their iPhones. A subtle message in these ads is that consumer technologies can now place virtual assistants in the palms of our hands. The advertising logic is as follows: get a new iPhone, ask it for information or to run tasks, and it will oblige. In the case of those celebrity commercials, it almost feel as if they’re talking to a digital version of the real life assistants they employ.

When it does work, Siri helps Apple create a deeper emotional bond between the consumer and their technology. While handheld technologies are providing varying levels of assistance to users, a similar wave is taking over the San Francisco Bay Area, not just with bits, but humans, too. A number of separate forces are converging to make segment, organize, and mobilize human workforces for just about any human-powered task one could imagine.

Companies such as Task Rabbit and Zaarly, for instance, have been well-covered, so I won’t go into them here, other than to set the context for new models that have recently emerged, such asExec (on-demand labor at a fixed, hourly rate), Postmates (delivery within an hour), and Instacart(groceries within an hour). One could also argue services like Lyft and Sidecar, which allow ordinary citizens to drive their cars around like taxis, or Cherry and YourMechanic, which send people to wash or fix, respectively, your car, all fall into a similar category

Stepping back to observe the trend, there are three large forces converging simultaneously to make this all happen now. First, the obvious force is the continued proliferation and advancements in mobile, handheld technologies, with more and more people owning not just one mobile device, and endlessly searching for newer applications and models to deliver better experiences than traditional websites, customized to our location, context, and other variables. Think of the “services” tab on Craigslist, but now on your phone. On my iPhone, I have a folder dedicated entirely to housing the apps listed above, which I’ve labeled “Services.”

Second, many of these companies seem perfectly positioned for the future when seen through the lens of how a company like Amazon may expand in the future, especially as it pertains to local delivery. Amazon is investing significant resources into various aspects of local delivery, whether it’s groceries, lockers, or maybe even drones (couldn’t miss a Tacocopter reference). Aside from Amazon, this is also a type of mobile marketplace where handheld technologies can help organize excess labor supply to generate, route, track, and complete these tasks, where entirely new companies are formed, complete with consumers’ credit cards for seamless payments, double-sided rating systems for better customer service, and the ability to more efficiently route requests for work and pair those requests with a new labor force.

Third, the structural inefficiencies in the American labor market provide an opportunity for these new companies to capture both labor and supply quickly. We are all painfully aware that in recent years, the U.S. economic output has slowed, that more and more citizens are not only out of work, but go unemployed for longer stretches, and as those stretches increase in length, they exponentially impact the ability to find the next gig. There is also growing income inequality in the U.S. Just five years ago, in 2007, the richest 1% of the American population owned just over a third of the country’s wealth, a ratio that gives the country one of the highest GINI coefficients in the world. Politics aside, what this means financially is that rising unemployment, combined with lopsided wealth distribution, creates a new labor supply that can be organized and routed, to pair those with extra time with those who have disposable income.

With armies of willing freelancers ready to complete all sorts of tasks, paired with efficient routing networks built on the backs of iOS and Android, what we have is, effectively, Siri for real life, a digital assistant transformed into a personal assistant. You can hire a Task Rabbit wait in line at the Apple Store to hold your place for an iPhone 5, call on a Postmate to have a jar of Grey Poupon delivered, use Instacart on the nightly Caltrain commute to delivery the groceries you need, and take a Lyft or Sidecar out later that night — all done with just a few simple taps of the finger, and you have Siri in real life. (I thought I’d try to infuse one of these services into the post, so a very special thanks toDavid Sament, whom I found on Task Rabbit, and helped me research some of the economic statistics and indicators.)

As with any new wave, there is an underbelly. These new companies are more efficient at routing a freelancer’s time, assuming there’s enough demand. Being an actual freelancer may suit some just fine, for a while, but eventually, I’d imagine many of them may want more predictable, more reliable forms of employment — a sentiment many Lyft and Sidecar drivers expressed to me during my many rides with them. These folks often were in between jobs, or in some kind of transitional phase of their lives. The way forward could be that companies like Postmates or Instacart provide that softer landing for those moving in and out of the formal labor market, or perhaps they themselves turn into real companies that fully employ freelancers, more along the model that Exec seems to be carving out, as a staffing solutions company.

It’s uncertain where we go from here, and that’s the exciting part. Right now in the Bay Area, which itself seems to be quite open to experimentation in these new business models, it’s unclear how these services scale to other geographies, maintain quality, and whether both sides of these marketplaces will provide enough liquidity to grow as fast. Here, in and around Silicon Valley, a great deal of wealth has been generated, and many can opt out of services, such as transportation. Or, perhaps, the income inequalities here serve as a petri dish for what is happening all over the country right now, and rather than fight about which government policies will help reduce unemployment or whether certain jobs will ever come back, it will actually be companies like Exec, Postmates, Task Rabbit, Instacart, and others that will actually provide the much-needed structural economic backbone to help people either between jobs, or make this a full-time job in an entirely new economy.

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Experiment: Shedding The Weight Of Email In Favor of Mobile Messaging

mobile messagingI have an idea about how I can cut down email. Now, I know…when people complain about email, it’s kind of an implicit humblebrag, but I want to put a spin on it. Right now, I am getting crushed by email. It’s hard because I want to reply to every honest and earnest message I’m sent. The reason is simple — karma. A lot of people answered my cold emails, met me without an agenda, and still do. And, I get a lot of cold emails or people coming out of the woodwork now. But, I can’t keep up. Thankfully, there are alternative routes now, and I think I may have come up with a solution. Please tell me what you think, this isn’t 100% set and I’m looking for feedback, tips, and honest reactions so I can refine this.

  1. For anyone I work for, or work with, or am very close to (professionally, family, etc.), I will answer those emails, always.
  2. When I send emails, I try to make the first one only one tight paragraph; I only write longer emails when I’m asked to or in a work setting. (I’ve met some people who don’t even reply to work emails, and to them, wow — I tip my hat. Not sure how to get around those!)
  3. Aside from introduction emails, I’m going to begin initiating messages with people through mobile messaging systems, such as text/SMS (I’m on iMessage), Kik, FB Messenger, Whatsapp, Twitter DM, or MessageMe (see picture above – I don’t really use Path and SnapChat, so those aren’t good channels for me). If I don’t get a response, I move on. I am comfortable using all mobile messaging apps and have come to the conclusion that these audiences will be fragmented, so I just think of them as all the same under the umbrella of more lightweight messaging.
  4. Now, here’s the kicker — for people who email me cold — I am going to reply with a “canned response” from Gmail, which will say the following: “Hello. Thank you for your email. Since I don’t know you, but would like to chat with you, I’m politely asking that you find me on one of the following mobile messaging apps: Kik, FB Messenger, Whatsapp, Twitter DM, or MessageMe (PIN: EG 925 CSU). I realize is cumbersome, but in an effort to focus on my immediate work and family, I’m relying on shorter bursts of messaging on mobile, which will lead to faster conversations and hopefully less email for us all. I look forward to seeing you on your mobile app of choice!

I had this thought today — there is a “weight” to email. It can feel heavy. The headers, the cc fields, the subjects, the signatures. Mobile messaging, on the other hand, feels light. I can hold it in the palm of my hand. There’s less weight, or perhaps no weight. Anyway, that’s the theory. I’m beginning this officially tomorrow and will keep to it for the summer. I’m traveling a bunch, too. I’ll report back after the summer and let you know how it all went. Thanks in advance for your ideas and comments.

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When Protagonists Press For Coverage

Because I have been such a consistent contributor to TechCrunch for well over two years now, people often mistake me for a full-time journalist or reporter. When that happens, I chuckle a little bit because (1) it’s such a hard job and I’d fail miserably at it; and (2) because if I was a real reporter, people probably wouldn’t approach me. As a result, every week, without fail, a few people contact me trying to network or get advice related to “getting coverage” for their startup, investment fund, or whatever’s in between. I try to be helpful and offer my opinion (where appropriate), but usually I end up reciting a variant of this phrase: “All the effort you put into trying to orchestrate this, which is out of your control, will ultimately only end up making you feel good.” The press is supposed to “cover” their subjects, chase down leads, and, well, press. Oftentimes, however, it’s the actors who “press” for coverage from the press, oblivious to the fact that no one else is likely to read more than the headline, if at all. In the technology space, the best way to get covered, outside of celebrity funding and/or endorsements (which touch a different audience), is to build a product or service that everyone is using, especially the writers themselves. It sounds obvious. Specifically, press announcements about funding or trivial metrics are, at most, boiled down into tweets that sometimes go beyond the day’s chatter — though usually not. The same thing happens in funding — investors get “pitched” all the time and field requests for meetings through unnecessarily elaborate introduction schemes, but most investors write checks into companies they chase — not the ones that chase them. The same goes for coverage. The companies and products that do well get great coverage because the writers find them compelling and seek them out.